Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#283
Pace71.6#85
Improvement-0.9#219

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#245
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#131
Layup/Dunks-1.0#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
Freethrows-0.7#220
Improvement+0.3#162

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#280
First Shot-5.2#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#44
Layups/Dunks-4.9#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#50
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement-1.3#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 87   @ Davidson L 74-86 9%     0 - 1 -3.9 +4.4 -8.1
  Nov 15, 2016 61   @ Tennessee L 94-103 5%     0 - 2 +2.7 +15.9 -12.1
  Nov 23, 2016 333   @ Hartford W 70-61 65%     1 - 2 -1.6 -5.8 +4.2
  Nov 26, 2016 10   @ Duke L 58-93 1%     1 - 3 -14.1 -8.4 -5.2
  Nov 28, 2016 237   @ Charlotte L 72-80 33%     1 - 4 -10.2 -5.9 -3.9
  Dec 03, 2016 317   Western Carolina L 53-58 72%     1 - 5 -17.9 -15.5 -2.9
  Dec 15, 2016 94   @ North Carolina St. L 64-97 10%     1 - 6 -25.6 -18.4 -2.1
  Dec 17, 2016 218   James Madison W 73-61 OT 48%     2 - 6 +5.9 +0.5 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2016 306   Hampton W 88-67 70%     3 - 6 +8.9 +17.5 -7.4
  Dec 31, 2016 174   @ Texas St. L 58-67 20%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -6.8 -2.6 -5.7
  Jan 02, 2017 81   @ Texas Arlington L 69-84 8%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -6.3 -3.6 -1.9
  Jan 07, 2017 235   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-76 52%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -15.2 +4.5 -20.9
  Jan 09, 2017 136   Arkansas St. W 70-57 29%     4 - 9 1 - 3 +11.9 +0.7 +12.0
  Jan 14, 2017 201   @ Coastal Carolina L 73-85 25%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -11.7 +2.1 -13.9
  Jan 21, 2017 181   @ Georgia Southern L 88-92 21%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -2.2 +9.1 -11.0
  Jan 23, 2017 128   @ Georgia St. L 72-83 15%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -6.6 +2.0 -8.6
  Jan 28, 2017 81   Texas Arlington L 67-83 17%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -12.4 -3.9 -8.6
  Jan 30, 2017 174   Texas St. L 55-68 35%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -15.9 -9.7 -8.1
  Feb 04, 2017 136   @ Arkansas St. L 78-79 16%     4 - 15 1 - 9 +3.0 +4.1 -1.1
  Feb 06, 2017 235   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-69 33%     4 - 16 1 - 10 -9.1 +8.6 -19.8
  Feb 11, 2017 128   Georgia St. W 77-72 28%     5 - 16 2 - 10 +4.4 +1.4 +2.8
  Feb 13, 2017 181   Georgia Southern W 83-78 37%     6 - 16 3 - 10 +1.7 -0.8 +2.1
  Feb 18, 2017 241   @ South Alabama L 74-87 34%     6 - 17 3 - 11 -15.4 -2.5 -12.2
  Feb 20, 2017 129   @ Troy L 66-76 15%     6 - 18 3 - 12 -5.7 -7.9 +2.4
  Feb 25, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe L 64-75 56%     6 - 19 3 - 13 -19.3 -11.8 -7.3
  Feb 27, 2017 151   Louisiana L 62-77 32%     6 - 20 3 - 14 -16.9 -14.9 -2.4
  Mar 04, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina W 77-73 42%     7 - 20 4 - 14 -0.8 +4.5 -5.1
  Mar 08, 2017 129   Troy L 64-84 21%     7 - 21 -18.2 -5.2 -14.6
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%